Guides / Quant Modeling

Iceberg Order & Hidden Liquidity Detection in Prediction Markets

Neither Kalshi nor Polymarket exposes a native iceberg-order flag, so detecting one is inferential: watch a price level's displayed size get filled and then reappear at the same level faster or more often than random order flow would explain, across consecutive orderbook snapshots. That pattern — not any single snapshot — is the signal.

Where the data comes from

ProbSights' orderbook history gives you the sequential depth snapshots (bid/ask levels and sizes, timestamped) needed to build that kind of refill analysis across Kalshi and Polymarket markets.

Related

Related guides

Data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Search live API docs Pricing