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Building a Polymarket Backtesting Framework in Python
Structure
Data layer — pull orderbook + trade history via the
Python client
and cache locally
Execution simulator — fill orders against historical depth, not mid-price
Strategy layer — entry/exit logic, kept separate from execution so it can be swapped
Evaluation — win rate against resolution, slippage, drawdown
Related
How to backtest a Polymarket strategy
Execution simulation with prediction market data
Related guides
Prediction Market Data for Academic Research
Common Backtesting Mistakes in Prediction Markets
Data Cleaning for Prediction Market Backtests
Execution Simulation With Prediction Market Data
Data from Kalshi and Polymarket.
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