Guides / Guide

How to Backtest a Polymarket Strategy

Steps

1. Pick a market and time range, and pull orderbook snapshots via /api/v1/historical/polymarket/orderbook
2. Pull the trade tape via /api/v1/historical/polymarket/trades to validate fill assumptions
3. Simulate entries/exits against the depth that actually existed, not just last price
4. Check performance against the market's actual resolution

Related

• Prediction market backtesting API
• BTC 5m backtesting data

Related guides

• Automated Spread Capture Bot: Data Requirements
• Bitcoin & Ethereum Price-Peak Markets vs. Up/Down Markets
• Building a Polymarket Trading Bot
• Fed Rate, Inflation & Recession Prediction Markets Explained

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