Guides / Guide
Crypto prediction markets come in two different shapes. Up/Down interval markets (what ProbSights indexes) ask a short-horizon question — will BTC or ETH be higher or lower at the end of a 5m/15m/1h/4h/24h window. Price-peak markets ask a long-horizon question instead — will BTC or ETH ever trade above some price level (e.g. $200k) within a given year or cycle. Both price as yes/no contracts, but they resolve on very different timelines and reflect different information: short-term volatility versus long-run price-target sentiment.
ProbSights indexes the Up/Down interval markets — live odds, orderbook, and trade history across Kalshi and Polymarket. It does not currently track price-peak/price-target contracts. For those, check Kalshi or Polymarket directly. For the Up/Down data ProbSights does provide:
Data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Search live API docs Pricing