Guides / Guide
Presidential election markets on Kalshi and Polymarket price a candidate's chance of winning as a yes/no contract — share price is the market's implied probability, the same mechanics as any other binary prediction market. Both venues run "next president" and party-nomination contracts years ahead of the election, including Trump-linked 2028 contracts, and prices move on polling, news, and primary results.
ProbSights currently indexes Kalshi and Polymarket's BTC/ETH/SOL Up/Down interval markets — not election or politics markets. If you're trading election contracts directly, go to Kalshi or Polymarket. For the market data ProbSights does provide — normalized orderbook, trade, and resolution history across both venues — see what's live now.
Data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Search live API docs Pricing